Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 980 | 78% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 927 | 1021 | 37% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1010 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1083 | 66% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1090 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1015 | 898 | 66% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1065 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1043.1 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).