Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1004 | 63% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 881 | 1011 | 32% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 944 | 1059 | 34% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1056 | 63% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1088 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 898 | 944 | 43% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1042.7 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).