Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 975 | 76% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1044 | 72% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1017 | 51% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1088 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1087 | 53% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1044.1 has a 52.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).