Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 809 | 81% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 891 | 1070 | 26% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1182 | 35% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 863 | 942 | 39% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1064 | 52% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 964 | 1034 | 40% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 945 | 73% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 972 | 1049 | 39% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1010 | 85% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 912 | 912 | 50% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 978 | 1104 | 33% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1104 | 33% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1021.9 has a 49.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).