Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 987 | 58% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 1128 | 23% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1192 | 36% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 924 | 73% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1077 | 46% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 903 | 1310 | 9% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1006 | 68% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1062 | 946 | 66% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1190 | 937 | 81% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1001 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1068 | 51% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1046 | 46% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1110 | 52% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1179 | 61% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 978 | 1214 | 20% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1065.1 has a 50.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).