Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (26 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1033 | 52% | 2025-12-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1161 | 1118 | 56% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 1264 | 16% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1046 | 987 | 58% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 876 | 68% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 1054 | 32% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 924 | 76% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1051 | 49% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1252 | 12% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1038 | 52% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1066 | 42% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1055 | 47% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1095 | 54% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1190 | 52% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1238 | 1144 | 63% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1218 | 20% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1074.3 has a 46.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).