Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (25 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 1032 | 53% | 2025-12-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1160 | 1123 | 55% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 987 | 57% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 878 | 60% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 929 | 1138 | 23% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1091 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1112 | 924 | 75% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1050 | 55% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1274 | 11% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1006 | 71% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1007 | 57% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1089 | 39% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1080 | 44% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1037 | 42% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1090 | 55% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1143 | 51% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1120 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1216 | 25% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1056.8 has a 49.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).