The Closer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (25 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 50
Defender wins (Canadian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 952 | 56% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2024-05-09 | Lost |
| 1005 | 997 | 51% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2023-01-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1062 | 55% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1207 | 1086 | 67% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 966 | 864 | 64% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1316 | 15% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
| 1063 | 896 | 72% | 2021-07-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 947 | 62% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 947 | 995 | 43% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1042 | 56% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2019-11-23 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1015 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1005 | 978 | 54% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1043 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).