Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 893 | 79% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-11-14 | Lost |
| 921 | 1006 | 38% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1054.3 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).