Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 928 | 71% | 2025-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2021-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2020-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2020-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1087.8 has a 38.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).