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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 969 | 47% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2026-01-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 911 | 1107 | 24% | 2020-08-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1019 | 43% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
| 971 | 989 | 47% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1195 | 54% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1077 | 951 | 67% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 1079 | 1195 | 34% | 2020-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1036.8 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).