First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (5 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1078 | 32% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 932 | 954 | 47% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
| 1190 | 944 | 80% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1233 | 24% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1076.4 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).