First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Free French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2021-08-31 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2021-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2021-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1129 | 72% | 2020-04-16 | | Won |
| 989 | 1182 | 25% | 2020-03-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1125.2 has a 35.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).