First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1176 | 1174 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
| 1220 | 950 | 83% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1084.8 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).