In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (24 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 27
Defender wins (German): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1233 | 31% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1015 | 75% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 762 | 75% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 762 | 75% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 1069 | 60% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1164 | 35% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1206 | 762 | 93% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 974 | 1001 | 46% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 965 | 991 | 46% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 965 | 762 | 76% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1191 | 1061 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1191 | 1061 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 927 | 890 | 55% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 1008 | 996 | 52% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 965 | 77% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 937 | 1223 | 16% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 947 | 835 | 66% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 954 | 68% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1311 | 33% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 965 | 965 | 50% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1013 | 965 | 57% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 989.3 has a 58.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).