In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1180 | 45% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1015 | 67% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 871 | 879 | 49% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 967 | 53% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 967 | 47% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1051 | 30% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1070 | 48% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 967 | 73% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1028 | 37% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 989 | 45% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 967 | 50% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1025 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1025 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1043 | 48% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1038 | 1006 | 55% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 951 | 78% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 1047 | 1226 | 26% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 922 | 74% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1207 | 42% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 987 | 951 | 55% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1012.3 has a 53.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).