In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1228 | 38% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
1210 | 1015 | 75% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
869 | 883 | 48% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
997 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
908 | 1061 | 29% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
958 | 1008 | 43% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
896 | 989 | 37% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
981 | 1063 | 38% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
964 | 1032 | 40% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
1141 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
1141 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
928 | 927 | 50% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
1066 | 946 | 67% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
1015 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
1173 | 896 | 83% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
927 | 1223 | 15% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
1087 | 900 | 75% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
928 | 896 | 55% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
987 | 896 | 63% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1021 has a 50.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).