In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1204 | 41% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1015 | 71% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 869 | 882 | 48% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 997 | 977 | 53% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 906 | 989 | 38% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 977 | 48% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1141 | 1024 | 66% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1024 | 66% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 928 | 970 | 44% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1042 | 1006 | 55% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 906 | 82% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 876 | 77% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1264 | 33% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 893 | 906 | 48% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 987 | 906 | 61% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1013.9 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).