Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (13 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 45
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 952 | 67% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1072 | 34% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 992 | 1051 | 42% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1049 | 70% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 1005 | 999 | 51% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 994 | 49% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1161 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1168 | 42% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1191 | 1310 | 34% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1169 | 967 | 76% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1081 | 921 | 72% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.2 vs 1060.7 has a 53.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).