Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (15 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1100 | 48% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 997 | 1100 | 36% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1268 | 995 | 83% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 946 | 1268 | 14% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 1019 | 42% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1181 | 41% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 1242 | 37% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1075.2 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).