Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 1046 | 42% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 1009 | 41% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1148 | 46% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1202 | 40% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1073 | 918 | 71% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072 vs 1049.2 has a 53.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).