Beacon of Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Swedish/Norwegian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2025-10-31 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1112 | 48% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1187 | 53% | 2024-11-25 | Lost |
| 949 | 1092 | 31% | 2023-06-21 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1102 | 46% | 2023-03-13 | Lost |
| 893 | 986 | 37% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 986 | 55% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-05-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-04-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 938 | 61% | 2021-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1071.1 has a 46.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).