Forsthaus Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (10 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-06-09 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-12-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-12-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1032 | 42% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1052 | 51% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1082 | 919 | 72% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 880 | 1014 | 32% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1210 | 35% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 1015.7 has a 48.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).