Forsthaus Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (10 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-06-09 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-12-05 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-12-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 968 | 62% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1064 | 920 | 70% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 875 | 1014 | 31% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1181 | 40% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.5 vs 994.3 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).