Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (21 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1042 | 43% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 917 | 866 | 57% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1170 | 26% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 981 | 71% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1054 | 45% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1340 | 999 | 88% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1419 | 1340 | 61% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1010 | 44% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 733 | 1254 | 5% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1032 | 46% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1035 | 1138 | 36% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1137 | 33% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 779 | 80% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1137 | 895 | 80% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1078 | 1217 | 31% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1217 | 31% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1137 | 46% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1066 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1186 | 1030 | 71% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.6 vs 1069 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).