Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 977 | 53% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 913 | 866 | 57% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1087 | 41% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 986 | 68% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1011 | 85% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 1310 | 19% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1041 | 52% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 748 | 1266 | 5% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1055 | 43% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1080 | 1138 | 42% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1273 | 1141 | 68% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 922 | 78% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1151 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1065 | 42% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1241 | 1030 | 77% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1058.7 has a 52.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).