Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (21 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 904 | 865 | 56% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1150 | 29% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 981 | 71% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1077 | 41% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1252 | 999 | 81% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1420 | 1252 | 72% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1065 | 37% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 755 | 1232 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1045 | 1137 | 37% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1176 | 28% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 896 | 83% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1098 | 1217 | 34% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1217 | 34% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1157 | 42% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 1077 | 43% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1184 | 1030 | 71% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1062.8 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).