Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (18 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 865 | 38% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
1011 | 1052 | 44% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1025 | 84% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
1061 | 1307 | 20% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1069 | 1083 | 48% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
1144 | 971 | 73% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
804 | 1175 | 11% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
993 | 998 | 49% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
1087 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
1138 | 1197 | 42% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
1168 | 802 | 89% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
1197 | 949 | 81% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
1008 | 1284 | 17% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
1008 | 1284 | 17% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
1026 | 1046 | 47% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1054.9 has a 48.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).