Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1087 | 41% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1007 | 65% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1011 | 85% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 1316 | 19% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1029 | 53% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 753 | 1193 | 7% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1050 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1061 | 1138 | 39% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1141 | 42% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 927 | 776 | 70% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 922 | 78% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 1219 | 26% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1219 | 26% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1151 | 48% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1064 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).