Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (23 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 1030 | 31% | 2026-04-23 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1039 | 43% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 888 | 865 | 53% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 959 | 73% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1076 | 41% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1017 | 79% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1420 | 1251 | 73% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1036 | 40% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 746 | 1210 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1040 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 969 | 1138 | 27% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1188 | 27% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 780 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1188 | 900 | 84% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1129 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1159 | 43% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 980 | 1077 | 36% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1113 | 1030 | 62% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1064.1 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).