Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1192 | 24% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 918 | 866 | 57% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1170 | 26% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 980 | 71% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1058 | 44% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1333 | 999 | 87% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1333 | 18% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1192 | 38% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 741 | 1256 | 5% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1040 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1051 | 1138 | 38% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1035 | 762 | 83% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 898 | 80% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1065 | 1219 | 29% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1219 | 29% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1192 | 51% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1024 | 1065 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1139 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1091 has a 44.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).