Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (19 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1204 | 23% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1025 | 879 | 70% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 957 | 1110 | 29% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1093 | 46% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 1083 | 46% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1048 | 45% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1204 | 962 | 80% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1075 | 1078 | 50% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1065 | 51% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 756 | 1023 | 18% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1023 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1086 | 930 | 71% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1211 | 1194 | 52% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1110 | 981 | 68% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1095 | 39% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1204 | 773 | 92% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1217 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1048.7 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).