Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (22 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1430 | 9% | 2026-02-04 | Lost |
| 934 | 1169 | 21% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 884 | 70% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2025-10-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1141 | 1138 | 50% | 2025-08-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1075 | 35% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1075 | 41% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1016 | 71% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1066 | 1141 | 39% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1031 | 55% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 755 | 1028 | 17% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1039 | 41% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 968 | 66% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1121 | 969 | 71% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1095 | 46% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1193 | 1215 | 47% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1151 | 780 | 89% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1062.2 has a 47.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).