Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (22 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1434 | 8% | 2026-02-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1219 | 18% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 924 | 65% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2025-10-30 | Lost |
| 966 | 1117 | 30% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1021 | 63% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-08-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1075 | 46% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 1070 | 40% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1016 | 76% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 1147 | 40% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1070 | 49% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 707 | 980 | 17% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 979 | 1010 | 46% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 986 | 64% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1070 | 1083 | 48% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 991 | 67% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1095 | 49% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1179 | 1211 | 45% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 780 | 83% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1079.1 has a 44.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).