Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (12 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 996 | 64% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 822 | 1072 | 19% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 965 | 73% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 1066 | 34% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 796 | 85% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1216 | 986 | 79% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 934 | 944 | 49% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1024.6 has a 54.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).