Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 989 | 57% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 966 | 886 | 61% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 987 | 1150 | 28% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2024-04-29 | | Won |
| 901 | 1170 | 18% | 2022-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2022-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 732 | 95% | 2022-02-14 | | Won |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1252 | 23% | 2021-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1029.4 has a 56.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).