Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 966 | 846 | 67% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1087 | 36% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1015 | 75% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 922 | 1282 | 11% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1032 | 67% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1209 | 753 | 93% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1141 | 53% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1043.3 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).