Back to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (9 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German / German (SS)): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1049 | 40% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 993 | 1274 | 17% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1084 | 878 | 77% | 2022-12-02 | Won |
| 976 | 979 | 50% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1001 | 75% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1016 | 55% | 2022-09-30 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2022-09-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1038.1 has a 50.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).