Back to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (9 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German / German (SS)): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 992 | 1302 | 14% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1084 | 864 | 78% | 2022-12-02 | Won |
| 993 | 979 | 52% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1032 | 76% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-09-26 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1142 | 53% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1039.3 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).