Five-Oh-Sink
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-03-20 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-06-13 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1017 | 39% | 2024-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 987 | 60% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 1144 | 1018 | 67% | 2023-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2022-07-05 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1219 | 15% | 2022-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1200 | 53% | 2022-05-15 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1120 | 78% | 2022-04-02 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1049.5 has a 51.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).