Five-Oh-Sink
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1029 | 52% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 1003 | 922 | 61% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 971 | 1017 | 43% | 2024-08-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 987 | 60% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1145 | 1017 | 68% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1077 | 58% | 2022-07-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 1226 | 14% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1172 | 57% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 891 | 855 | 55% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1120 | 78% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1033 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).