Stand at Sterlin's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1147 | 50% | 2025-09-04 | Tied |
| 1005 | 993 | 52% | 2025-06-14 | Won |
| 1166 | 1003 | 72% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 960 | 1048 | 38% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.2 vs 1044.6 has a 47.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).