Stand at Sterlin's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-09-04 | | Tied |
| 1008 | 1013 | 49% | 2025-06-14 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1004 | 61% | 2023-08-19 | | Lost |
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2023-05-18 | | Won |
| 1093 | 954 | 69% | 2022-12-16 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1001.8 has a 54.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).