Stand at Sterlin's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (4 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1018 | 49% | 2025-06-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 980 | 60% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 980.8 vs 1010.5 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).