Raff's Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1151 | 55% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1263 | 21% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-04-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1007 | 56% | 2023-02-25 | Lost |
| 1169 | 968 | 76% | 2023-01-29 | Lost |
| 906 | 755 | 70% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1033.9 has a 54.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).