Raff's Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1042 | 69% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1263 | 26% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1243 | 1243 | 50% | 2023-04-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1021 | 54% | 2023-02-25 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1178 | 57% | 2023-01-29 | Lost |
| 906 | 707 | 76% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1045.6 has a 54.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).