Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (14 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Romanian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1223 | 23% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1218 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 1045 | 39% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1141 | 53% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1079.7 has a 48.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).