Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (14 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Romanian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1182 | 32% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1219 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1007 | 1049 | 44% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 992 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1186 | 32% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1076.9 has a 48.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).