Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (13 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Romanian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 989 | 57% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1041 | 42% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1215 | 53% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1048 | 42% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1136 | 62% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.2 vs 1053.5 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).