Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (14 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Romanian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1117 | 42% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 929 | 53% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1204 | 26% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1219 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1062 | 1049 | 52% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 1184 | 929 | 81% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 1075 | 32% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1143 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1073.5 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).