Without Thought of Numbers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 22
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2025-12-14 | Lost |
| 974 | 984 | 49% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 941 | 68% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1057 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1010 | 64% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1170 | 32% | 2023-05-02 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1112 | 59% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 1206 | 1024 | 74% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 1065 | 44% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1037.6 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).