Without Thought of Numbers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 22
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 982 | 69% | 2025-12-14 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1009 | 55% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1002 | 55% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1012 | 63% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1056 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1019 | 63% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1133 | 37% | 2023-05-02 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1127 | 49% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1030.3 has a 54.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).