Without Thought of Numbers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 950 | 61% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1012 | 56% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1057 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1043 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1067 | 44% | 2023-05-02 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 950 | 1052 | 36% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 950 | 1052 | 36% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 1206 | 1012 | 75% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1001 | 1099 | 36% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1112 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1044.4 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).