Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 986 | 85% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1060 | 1045 | 52% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 994 | 963 | 54% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 947 | 1145 | 24% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1014 | 65% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 956 | 73% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 943 | 70% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 879 | 917 | 45% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 753 | 1209 | 7% | 2023-10-20 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1125 | 64% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2023-08-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 988 | 54% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1034.7 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).