Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 1030 | 31% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 847 | 940 | 37% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 1220 | 1002 | 78% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1053 | 1186 | 32% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 988 | 963 | 54% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 999 | 1174 | 27% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1029 | 65% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 1087 | 60% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1133 | 948 | 74% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 880 | 917 | 45% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 750 | 1227 | 6% | 2023-10-20 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1182 | 47% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1212 | 906 | 85% | 2023-08-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1035 | 47% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1041.5 has a 48.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).