Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1137 | 33% | 2025-12-15 | Lost |
| 913 | 913 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1119 | 36% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1045 | 1019 | 54% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1249 | 19% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1056 | 67% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1176 | 33% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1046.4 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).