Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (7 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Australian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
937 | 959 | 47% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
937 | 937 | 50% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
982 | 982 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
1084 | 1034 | 57% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
1129 | 1112 | 52% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
1185 | 1179 | 51% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
1133 | 937 | 76% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1020 has a 55.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).