The First Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2024-04-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 987.5 has a 53.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).