Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Danish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1118 | 47% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 1142 | 33% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1096 | 39% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1096 | 39% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1018 | 52% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1025 | 49% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1242 | 1290 | 43% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 1034 | 949 | 62% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 980 | 1107 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1099 | 831 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1086 | 998 | 62% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1052.4 has a 50.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).