Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (18 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Danish): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1208 | 47% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1118 | 47% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1142 | 35% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1096 | 42% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1096 | 42% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1009 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1187 | 1025 | 72% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1208 | 1290 | 38% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1105 | 63% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 980 | 1112 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1099 | 831 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1057.6 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).