Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (25 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Danish): 34
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Danish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1074 | 40% | 2026-05-19 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2026-03-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 970 | 59% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 993 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1005 | 993 | 52% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1253 | 1220 | 55% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2025-09-12 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2025-07-30 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1163 | 973 | 75% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1092 | 37% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 988 | 842 | 70% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1163 | 28% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1163 | 28% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 955 | 54% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1253 | 1023 | 79% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1220 | 1242 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1186 | 54% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 961 | 1088 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 820 | 84% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1031.8 has a 56.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).