Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (23 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Danish): 34
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Danish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 970 | 71% | 2026-03-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 970 | 59% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 1065 | 48% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1006 | 978 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1253 | 1203 | 57% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1264 | 33% | 2025-09-12 | Lost |
| 1102 | 893 | 77% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1163 | 1118 | 56% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1092 | 37% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 1001 | 861 | 69% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1163 | 28% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1163 | 28% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 945 | 65% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1253 | 1023 | 79% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1203 | 1242 | 44% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1197 | 51% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 938 | 66% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1088 | 33% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 827 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 893 | 77% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1084.4 vs 1040.2 has a 56.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).