Half a Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 944 | 1310 | 11% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1030 | 63% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1126 | 1030 | 63% | 2015-09-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1155 | 35% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1148 | 49% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 955 | 1011 | 42% | 2012-10-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 1099 | 30% | 2000-08-15 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1099 | 42% | 2000-06-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 1998-09-10 | Lost |
| 939 | 1087 | 30% | 1991-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1080.3 has a 42.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).