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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 846 | 1199 | 12% | 2020-03-16 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2015-10-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-22 | Lost |
| 859 | 1007 | 30% | 2015-02-09 | Won |
| 1128 | 1148 | 47% | 2014-06-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1241 | 1049 | 75% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1122 | 31% | 1996-04-09 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1116 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1092.5 has a 42.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).