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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1134 | 21% | 2020-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2019-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-10-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2015-02-09 | | Won |
| 991 | 1129 | 31% | 2014-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2006-04-22 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2000-10-01 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2000-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 1996-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.6 vs 1049.8 has a 46.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).