The Hawk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (16 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 51
Defender wins (Japanese): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-12-21 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
1006 | 1002 | 51% | 2016-12-20 | Won |
1055 | 992 | 59% | 2016-02-18 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
1227 | 869 | 89% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
1068 | 890 | 74% | 2013-01-19 | Won |
1068 | 890 | 74% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
890 | 1068 | 26% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
890 | 1068 | 26% | 2012-12-20 | Won |
1090 | 905 | 74% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
850 | 992 | 31% | 2005-04-13 | Won |
1087 | 945 | 69% | 2000-05-05 | Won |
991 | 1083 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1006.2 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).