The Hawk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (25 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 55
Defender wins (Japanese): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 894 | 911 | 48% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 865 | 1003 | 31% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 918 | 1070 | 29% | 2021-01-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-21 | Won |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 865 | 1024 | 29% | 2016-12-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 988 | 62% | 2016-02-18 | Lost |
| 921 | 1079 | 29% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 921 | 71% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1066 | 924 | 69% | 2013-01-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 924 | 69% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1066 | 31% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 924 | 1066 | 31% | 2012-12-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 841 | 988 | 30% | 2005-04-13 | Won |
| 1042 | 1080 | 45% | 2003-12-18 | Won |
| 1121 | 1205 | 38% | 2002-07-26 | Won |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2000-12-29 | Won |
| 1042 | 1044 | 50% | 2000-05-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 940 | 65% | 2000-05-05 | Won |
| 1115 | 1024 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1015.1 vs 1025.4 has a 48.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).