Water Foul
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1152 | 55% | 2025-07-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2021-05-29 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 976 | 738 | 80% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 964 | 58% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1037 | 41% | 2016-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 982.7 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).