Tussle at Thomashof
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 1019 | 30% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1095 | 52% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1177 | 1158 | 53% | 2004-04-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 984 | 60% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2003-02-27 | Lost |
| 901 | 1068 | 28% | 1999-02-07 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1249 | 33% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1249 | 36% | 1998-03-27 | Lost |
| 911 | 1177 | 18% | 1993-04-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1118.8 has a 36.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).