Armored Fist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 32
Defender wins (British): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1154 | 1170 | 48% | 2026-09-06 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2022-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 940 | 70% | 2022-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 910 | 78% | 2022-02-13 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2021-01-31 | | Won |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2018-06-10 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2014-01-10 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-04-22 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2000-10-04 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2000-08-29 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2000-03-25 | | Won |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 1999-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 1999-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-07-03 | | Won |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 1999-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1034.7 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).