GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-01-31 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1065 | 58% | 2020-07-25 | | Won |
| 909 | 1029 | 33% | 2019-06-03 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-08-09 | | Won |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2015-01-01 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1062 | 11% | 2012-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-08-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2001-12-13 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2001-11-18 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 990.6 vs 1043.3 has a 42.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).