GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 878 | 1057 | 26% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1171 | 26% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 693 | 1050 | 11% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 906 | 1153 | 19% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1112 | 1092 | 53% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 982.7 vs 1083.7 has a 35.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).