Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-07-14 | | Lost |
| 963 | 780 | 74% | 2023-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1226 | 24% | 2010-09-21 | | Won |
| 1124 | 1130 | 49% | 2010-06-03 | | Lost |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2004-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1078 | 49% | 2003-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2001-01-12 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019 vs 1078 has a 41.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).