Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (5 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1192 | 802 | 90% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
1050 | 1284 | 21% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
1108 | 1153 | 44% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1070.6 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).