Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 904 | 904 | 50% | 2025-07-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1090 | 63% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1217 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 970 | 1164 | 25% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1219 | 30% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 1126 | 44% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2004-05-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1057 | 52% | 2003-04-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2001-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1017.6 vs 1076.5 has a 41.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).