Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 888 | 48% | 2025-07-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 780 | 78% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1091 | 43% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1216 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1225 | 28% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1130 | 42% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2004-05-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1078 | 47% | 2003-04-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2001-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 997.3 vs 1073.1 has a 39.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).