Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2025-07-14 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1091 | 61% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1158 | 38% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1130 | 35% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2004-05-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1057 | 50% | 2003-04-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2001-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1008.6 vs 1064.8 has a 41.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).