Balkan Barbecue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 24
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1230 | 1310 | 39% | 2026-09-29 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2026-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 990 | 62% | 2023-09-11 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2021-01-16 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1132 | 42% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2014-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 1999-07-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 1999-04-17 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1185 | 27% | 1997-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1083.4 has a 46.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).