Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1078 | 58% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 964 | 993 | 46% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1097 | 57% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 991 | 64% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1097 | 34% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1052 | 694 | 89% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 970 | 855 | 66% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2007-07-19 | Won |
| 949 | 1038 | 37% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 1059 | 1342 | 16% | 2002-04-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1140 | 62% | 2001-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1021 | 47% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1060 | 50% | 1998-04-25 | Won |
| 833 | 1091 | 18% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1017.8 vs 1041.2 has a 46.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).