Assault on the Hotel Continental
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1057 | 61% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-07-24 | Lost |
| 988 | 990 | 50% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1131 | 938 | 75% | 2019-01-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1006 | 57% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1019 | 44% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 694 | 88% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 970 | 843 | 68% | 2010-08-15 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1167 | 35% | 2007-07-24 | Won |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2007-07-19 | Won |
| 949 | 932 | 52% | 2006-10-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1343 | 16% | 2002-04-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1140 | 62% | 2001-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1023 | 47% | 2000-12-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1060 | 50% | 1998-04-25 | Won |
| 834 | 1036 | 24% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1015.9 vs 1014.1 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).