The Third Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (2 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American/Free French): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1147 | 52% | 2002-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1128.5 has a 43.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).