The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (23 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
902 | 1083 | 26% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
1017 | 1026 | 49% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
956 | 1058 | 36% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
917 | 1300 | 10% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
1110 | 1284 | 27% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
994 | 1266 | 17% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
1067 | 963 | 65% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
990 | 990 | 50% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
995 | 980 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
979 | 1068 | 37% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
1138 | 1008 | 68% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
1108 | 1340 | 21% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
1043 | 1093 | 43% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
1142 | 1128 | 52% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
1018 | 994 | 53% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
994 | 1058 | 41% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
926 | 916 | 51% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1087.8 has a 43.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).