The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 927 | 72% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1035 | 41% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1144 | 27% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1179 | 1087 | 63% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1179 | 18% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1094 | 48% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1129 | 61% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 866 | 61% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1073 | 963 | 65% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 944 | 905 | 56% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1202 | 44% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 1030 | 45% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 968 | 1076 | 35% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 989 | 952 | 55% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1040 | 956 | 62% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1069 | 43% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1141 | 974 | 72% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 946 | 62% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 896 | 73% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 946 | 939 | 51% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 928 | 1053 | 33% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1027.7 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).