The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (30 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 49
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2026-02-06 | | Won |
| 1159 | 944 | 78% | 2023-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2022-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2021-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2020-04-03 | | Won |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-06-15 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-09-19 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1219 | 11% | 2018-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2018-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-06-19 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2015-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 960 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2013-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2011-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1147 | 50% | 2011-06-29 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2010-07-24 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1015 | 47% | 2010-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 980 | 73% | 2010-06-12 | | Won |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2009-03-14 | | Won |
| 1073 | 996 | 61% | 2009-03-14 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2009-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-02-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2006-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1052.4 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).