The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 989 | 78% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 912 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1084 | 41% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 970 | 1033 | 41% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1302 | 1096 | 77% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1302 | 10% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1205 | 29% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1219 | 34% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 945 | 1243 | 15% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 963 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1043 | 39% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1023 | 61% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1079 | 1334 | 19% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1010 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1161 | 935 | 79% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 945 | 67% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 1126 | 35% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 945 | 1033 | 38% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1080 | 47% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 931 | 1160 | 21% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1078.2 has a 44.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).