The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 998 | 72% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 1036 | 33% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1025 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1020 | 43% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1329 | 9% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1162 | 58% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1219 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 1243 | 15% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 958 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 985 | 53% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1118 | 1336 | 22% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1011 | 57% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1115 | 981 | 68% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1051 | 941 | 65% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 941 | 1020 | 39% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 931 | 1182 | 19% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1080 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).