The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (French): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 973 | 77% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 1031 | 34% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 970 | 1108 | 31% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1340 | 8% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1182 | 56% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1217 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1243 | 20% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 958 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1063 | 984 | 61% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1098 | 31% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1100 | 53% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1332 | 18% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1021 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1174 | 980 | 75% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1083 | 998 | 62% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1074 | 1003 | 60% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1003 | 995 | 51% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1117 | 42% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 925 | 1184 | 18% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 1038 | 38% | 2006-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1081 has a 46.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).