The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 1170 | 964 | 77% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1254 | 63% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 916 | 1003 | 38% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 965 | 1022 | 42% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 862 | 1234 | 11% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1170 | 58% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1218 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1263 | 23% | 2016-06-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1244 | 22% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1055 | 960 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1044 | 44% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1099 | 31% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1135 | 49% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1022 | 1335 | 14% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1015 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1159 | 979 | 74% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1073 | 1024 | 57% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 994 | 54% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 925 | 1158 | 21% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 1062 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1084.9 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).