The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 1177 | 962 | 78% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 917 | 1045 | 32% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 970 | 991 | 47% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1252 | 13% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1177 | 57% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1217 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1283 | 21% | 2016-06-19 | Won |
| 959 | 1243 | 16% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 958 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 981 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1098 | 31% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1075 | 1334 | 18% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1015 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1159 | 979 | 74% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1074 | 959 | 66% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 959 | 994 | 45% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 926 | 1248 | 14% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1073 | 34% | 2006-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1083.3 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).