The Valley of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (29 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2025-08-11 | Won |
| 1274 | 1242 | 55% | 2023-09-18 | Won |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 947 | 1110 | 28% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1075 | 48% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 986 | 1005 | 47% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1112 | 65% | 2020-10-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1154 | 1109 | 56% | 2019-01-02 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1014 | 46% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 1011 | 72% | 2012-06-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 986 | 52% | 2011-02-10 | Lost |
| 866 | 1002 | 31% | 2010-11-25 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1044 | 76% | 2010-04-04 | Won |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 988 | 1100 | 34% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 988 | 66% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1009 | 56% | 2009-08-22 | Lost |
| 892 | 1028 | 31% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-06-29 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1063 | 47% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1044 | 63% | 2007-11-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1146 | 34% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1284 | 1328 | 44% | 2007-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1063.2 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).