The Valley of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (28 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 39
Defender wins (Russian): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 1310 | 35% | 2023-09-18 | Won |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 952 | 1126 | 27% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1075 | 45% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 986 | 993 | 49% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1113 | 65% | 2020-10-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1102 | 58% | 2019-01-02 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1161 | 48% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1046 | 48% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1011 | 46% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1195 | 1010 | 74% | 2012-06-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 987 | 52% | 2011-02-10 | Lost |
| 924 | 1002 | 39% | 2010-11-25 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1024 | 79% | 2010-04-04 | Won |
| 1132 | 1061 | 60% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 1098 | 35% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1008 | 56% | 2009-08-22 | Lost |
| 903 | 1024 | 33% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-06-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1042 | 50% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1020 | 66% | 2007-11-26 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1165 | 31% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1285 | 1302 | 48% | 2007-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1062.4 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).