Mercury Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1040 | 51% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1093 | 41% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1095 | 45% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
| 1207 | 1148 | 58% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 846 | 1033 | 25% | 2023-02-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1026 | 53% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1124 | 989 | 69% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1055 | 841 | 77% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1053 | 41% | 2013-01-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1067 | 42% | 2012-09-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1151 | 37% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1037.3 has a 49.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).