Mercury Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1023 | 61% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1019 | 52% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1095 | 43% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
| 1023 | 1206 | 26% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 884 | 1033 | 30% | 2023-02-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1028 | 53% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 974 | 938 | 55% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 839 | 76% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1115 | 33% | 2013-01-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-09-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1013 | 51% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1160 | 35% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1013.4 vs 1036.8 has a 46.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).