Glide Path to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2024-07-22 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 977 | 1132 | 29% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-07-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1011 | 54% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-05-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 697 | 92% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 697 | 92% | 2009-01-10 | Tied |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 977.4 has a 57.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).