Glide Path to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (10 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2024-07-22 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1230 | 13% | 2021-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 974 | 62% | 2014-11-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-11-25 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2009-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2009-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2009-01-10 | | Tied |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1003.8 vs 980.2 has a 53.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).