Glide Path to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2024-07-22 | Lost |
| 900 | 1208 | 15% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-27 | Lost |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-05-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 694 | 88% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 694 | 88% | 2009-01-10 | Tied |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1017.8 vs 972.8 has a 56.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).