Glide Path to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 1094 | 26% | 2024-07-22 | Lost |
| 900 | 1165 | 18% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 1143 | 34% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 977 | 66% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-05-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1094 | 694 | 91% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 694 | 91% | 2009-01-10 | Tied |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 983.3 has a 56.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).