The Streets of Carpiquet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Canadian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2024-03-28 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2019-05-17 | | Won |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1152 | 28% | 2019-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-06-03 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2009-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1006 | 62% | 2009-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-01-09 | | Won |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2008-12-28 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1035 | 49% | 2008-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 992.1 vs 1060.5 has a 40.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).