Coke Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Australian): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1072 | 35% | 2025-08-20 | Tied |
| 1101 | 1137 | 45% | 2025-04-10 | Won |
| 947 | 1165 | 22% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1072 | 999 | 60% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 971 | 787 | 74% | 2025-03-06 | Won |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-08-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1089 | 35% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 1044 | 46% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1108 | 50% | 2021-03-29 | Lost |
| 936 | 941 | 49% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1050 | 62% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2020-07-13 | Won |
| 1250 | 1097 | 71% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1250 | 59% | 2015-12-03 | Won |
| 694 | 1086 | 9% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1050.2 has a 50.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).