Coke Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (20 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1042 | 39% | 2025-08-20 | Tied |
| 1074 | 1070 | 51% | 2025-04-10 | Won |
| 973 | 1123 | 30% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1030 | 51% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1042 | 999 | 56% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 786 | 80% | 2025-03-06 | Won |
| 1202 | 1042 | 72% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1015 | 871 | 70% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-08-10 | Lost |
| 866 | 989 | 33% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 969 | 57% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1073 | 42% | 2021-03-29 | Lost |
| 936 | 940 | 49% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1050 | 62% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2020-07-13 | Won |
| 1263 | 1110 | 71% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2015-12-03 | Won |
| 694 | 1040 | 12% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1037.2 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).