Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (25 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (Dutch): 43
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1141 | 53% | 2025-09-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1004 | 50% | 2025-05-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 1096 | 49% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1065 | 37% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1015 | 44% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1131 | 939 | 75% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1193 | 16% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1070 | 988 | 62% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1014 | 74% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 878 | 1010 | 32% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 951 | 53% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 992 | 1096 | 35% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 890 | 1028 | 31% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 1333 | 12% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 947 | 962 | 48% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1114 | 55% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 852 | 1151 | 15% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1032 | 42% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 915 | 1065 | 30% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1049.8 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).