Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Dutch): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1023 | 42% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1190 | 939 | 81% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1111 | 24% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1004 | 55% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1009 | 66% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1137 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 955 | 69% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 879 | 1009 | 32% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 930 | 56% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 1005 | 1094 | 37% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 889 | 1035 | 30% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 1310 | 14% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 933 | 960 | 46% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1126 | 51% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 880 | 1130 | 19% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 916 | 981 | 41% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1058 | 43% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 975 | 1033 | 42% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 937 | 982 | 44% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 988.4 vs 1043.5 has a 42.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).