Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (27 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2025-09-21 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2025-06-15 | D | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-05-21 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1187 | 27% | 2025-03-20 | | Won |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1080 | 44% | 2023-07-21 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1019 | 43% | 2023-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 930 | 72% | 2022-11-16 | | Won |
| 908 | 1127 | 22% | 2022-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 988 | 64% | 2021-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-11 | | Won |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2018-01-12 | | Won |
| 886 | 1010 | 33% | 2017-12-15 | | Lost |
| 964 | 966 | 50% | 2017-09-23 | | Won |
| 980 | 1242 | 18% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 972 | 1108 | 31% | 2016-03-01 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1049 | 29% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2015-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1153 | 46% | 2014-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-04-19 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-07-19 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1012.1 vs 1066.7 has a 42.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).