Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (26 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1186 | 34% | 2025-09-21 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1006 | 50% | 2025-05-21 | Won |
| 1072 | 1152 | 39% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1080 | 35% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1125 | 930 | 75% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1177 | 17% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1086 | 988 | 64% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1014 | 64% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 909 | 1010 | 36% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 950 | 53% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 992 | 1109 | 34% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 1274 | 17% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 1055 | 962 | 63% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1090 | 64% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1149 | 1138 | 52% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 974 | 1033 | 42% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 912 | 1099 | 25% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1054.1 has a 44.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).