Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (22 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Dutch): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1078 | 46% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1024 | 42% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1048 | 39% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1195 | 939 | 81% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1205 | 15% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1079 | 988 | 63% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1009 | 74% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1137 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 966 | 67% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 841 | 1009 | 28% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 1004 | 1093 | 37% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 889 | 1034 | 30% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 1302 | 14% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 960 | 57% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 851 | 1136 | 16% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1033 | 41% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 937 | 1023 | 38% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 996 vs 1048.5 has a 42.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).