Task Force to Cotignac
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / FFI): 12
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 851 | 985 | 32% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1052 | 961 | 63% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1099 | 37% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1118 | 50% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1006.7 vs 1069 has a 41.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).