Task Force to Cotignac
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / FFI): 13
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 985 | 31% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 1049 | 48% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1007 | 1086 | 39% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1180 | 49% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1012 vs 1082 has a 40.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).