Beaufort's Feast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (French): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1315 | 14% | 2021-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-05-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 962 | 54% | 2016-05-21 | | Won |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2016-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2015-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2015-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1011 | 50% | 2014-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2012-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1141 | 32% | 2012-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2011-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1040 | 66% | 2010-12-28 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1269 | 23% | 2010-10-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1091.4 has a 43.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).