Beaufort's Feast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 859 | 1000 | 31% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2016-05-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 959 | 69% | 2015-08-13 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1042 | 54% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1092 | 47% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 960 | 1150 | 25% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 999 | 1211 | 23% | 2011-02-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1211 | 27% | 2011-02-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 913 | 68% | 2010-12-28 | Won |
| 934 | 1206 | 17% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1005.6 vs 1063.7 has a 41.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).