The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1279 | 1010 | 82% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 1054 | 55% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1216 | 46% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1216 | 44% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1099 | 33% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 977 | 67% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1160 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1059 | 51% | 2012-03-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 1178 | 33% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1083.8 vs 1085.5 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).