The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1266 | 996 | 83% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1122 | 1033 | 63% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1219 | 42% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1219 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1083 | 54% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1158 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1082.9 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).