The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1107 | 1034 | 60% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1219 | 46% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1160 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1058 | 49% | 2012-03-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1082.6 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).