The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 991 | 77% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1122 | 1035 | 62% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 942 | 1010 | 40% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1221 | 42% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1221 | 51% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 1107 | 37% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1159 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1061 | 52% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1085.4 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).