The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 999 | 78% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1218 | 46% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1218 | 43% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1161 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1031 | 54% | 2012-03-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1077.4 vs 1084.4 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).