Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1124 | 48% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
| 1124 | 885 | 80% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1226 | 38% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 932 | 59% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1006 | 1096 | 37% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1099 | 45% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 906 | 81% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1100 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1115 | 57% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1116.8 vs 1015.1 has a 64.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).