Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 1043 | 38% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
1190 | 1223 | 45% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1190 | 929 | 82% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
1016 | 958 | 58% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1006 | 1093 | 38% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
1084 | 1042 | 56% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
1074 | 1094 | 47% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
1151 | 929 | 78% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
1191 | 906 | 84% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
1219 | 1098 | 67% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1168 | 1161 | 51% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1122.8 vs 1053.5 has a 59.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).