Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1009 | 61% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1116 | 48% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
| 1116 | 883 | 79% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1223 | 37% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 995 | 897 | 64% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1006 | 1094 | 38% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
| 1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 906 | 79% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1098 | 67% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1122 | 56% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1120.8 vs 1045.5 has a 60.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).