Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1285 | 1137 | 70% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1137 | 29% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1210 | 27% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1024 | 66% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1045 | 35% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1086 | 46% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 974 | 1316 | 12% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 889 | 1043 | 29% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1105.4 has a 38.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).