Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 898 | 898 | 50% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1341 | 1110 | 79% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1110 | 32% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1204 | 27% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1024 | 66% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1013 | 40% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1057 | 51% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 985 | 1333 | 12% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1081.9 has a 41.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).