Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1047 | 48% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 989 | 934 | 58% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1112 | 54% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 944 | 1026 | 38% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1059 | 944 | 66% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 909 | 76% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 862 | 1022 | 28% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 891 | 981 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1314 | 1311 | 50% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 893 | 1078 | 26% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1062.1 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).