Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (19 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1028 | 47% | 2025-08-28 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1155 | 59% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 992 | 988 | 51% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 888 | 888 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1263 | 45% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1030 | 54% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 998 | 44% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1079 | 57% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1028 | 44% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 996 | 983 | 52% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1107 | 71% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 964 | 72% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 862 | 1129 | 18% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1318 | 1251 | 60% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1131 | 37% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1102 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1066.6 has a 48.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).