Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1128 | 58% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 916 | 1015 | 36% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1139 | 38% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1035 | 42% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1027 | 48% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1112 | 951 | 72% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1065 | 24% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 891 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1333 | 47% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1109 | 42% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1106 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1084.1 has a 43.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).