Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1104 | 41% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 897 | 895 | 50% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1199 | 974 | 79% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1113 | 851 | 82% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 985 | 999 | 48% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-21 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1073 | 70% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1218 | 29% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1107.6 vs 1054.3 has a 57.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).