Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1059 | 51% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 1027 | 997 | 54% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 898 | 892 | 51% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1040 | 69% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 932 | 999 | 40% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-21 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1139 | 53% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1041.9 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).