Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1204 | 25% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 942 | 1013 | 40% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 930 | 68% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1034 | 59% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1186 | 1012 | 73% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1026 | 53% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 883 | 81% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1041.5 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).