Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (11 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1273 | 1241 | 55% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1122 | 38% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1032 | 37% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 978 | 1032 | 42% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1199 | 885 | 86% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1125 | 46% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 998 | 69% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1043 | 906 | 69% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1094.7 vs 1055.2 has a 55.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).