Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (14 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1069 | 43% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1077 | 41% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 942 | 988 | 43% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 926 | 66% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 971 | 1167 | 24% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 976 | 68% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1052 | 57% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1243 | 1011 | 79% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1164 | 59% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1047 | 933 | 66% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 883 | 81% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1337 | 1342 | 49% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1051.8 has a 55.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).