Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1091 | 1070 | 53% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1196 | 26% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1102 | 41% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1028 | 38% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1050 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 929 | 75% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1073 | 54% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1144 | 1013 | 68% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 931 | 66% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 882 | 82% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1035.2 has a 56.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).