Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (14 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 976 | 59% | 2025-07-19 | Won |
| 989 | 1007 | 47% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1102 | 50% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 967 | 59% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1054 | 977 | 61% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1018 | 52% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1035 | 64% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1099 | 1172 | 40% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1073 | 923 | 70% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1026.8 has a 53.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).