Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1007 | 47% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1183 | 38% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 940 | 63% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1027 | 65% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1195 | 36% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1077 | 56% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1040 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1049.2 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).