Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1007 | 46% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1025 | 954 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1194 | 37% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 909 | 67% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1079 | 58% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1142 | 44% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1071 | 49% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1043.3 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).